Dr. Robert Castellano's Semiconductor Deep Dive Newsletter

Dr. Robert Castellano's Semiconductor Deep Dive Newsletter

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Dr. Robert Castellano's Semiconductor Deep Dive Newsletter
Dr. Robert Castellano's Semiconductor Deep Dive Newsletter
The Mighty Triumvirate: Nvidia, TSMC, and ASML's Dominance in AI Calls for a Reassessment of Traditional Valuation Methods

The Mighty Triumvirate: Nvidia, TSMC, and ASML's Dominance in AI Calls for a Reassessment of Traditional Valuation Methods

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Dr. Robert Castellano
Sep 05, 2024
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Dr. Robert Castellano's Semiconductor Deep Dive Newsletter
Dr. Robert Castellano's Semiconductor Deep Dive Newsletter
The Mighty Triumvirate: Nvidia, TSMC, and ASML's Dominance in AI Calls for a Reassessment of Traditional Valuation Methods
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  • Nvidia, TSMC, and ASML are at the forefront of the AI revolution, driving unprecedented technological advancements.

  • Nvidia holds a 92% share of the AI Processor market.

  • TSMC holds a 57% share of the Foundry market and is one of only two companies at the 3nm node.

  • ASML holds a 92% share of the Lithography market and 100% of 3nm market.

  • Recent downgrades fail to capture the long-term value and strategic importance of these industry giants.

Despite recent downgrades, Nvidia and ASML's unparalleled dominance in the AI landscape underscores the need for a reassessment of stock metrics. Their pivotal roles in advancing AI technology and semiconductor manufacturing suggest that traditional valuation models may not fully capture their long-term growth potential and strategic significance.

In the rapidly evolving landscape of artificial intelligence (AI), three companies stand out as pivotal players: Nvidia (NVDA), TSMC (TSM), and ASML (ASML). Together, these companies form a Mighty Triumviratethat drives the innovation and manufacturing of cutting-edge AI technologies. Nvidia leads the charge in designing AI processors, TSMC excels in manufacturing these processors, and ASML provides the critical EUV lithography equipment necessary to produce advanced chips at the 3nm node. This article delves into the technical and corporate metrics of each company, analyzing their dominance and the synergy between their roles.

Nvidia: Dominating AI Processor Design

Nvidia has established itself as the preeminent designer of AI processors, largely through its pioneering work in GPU architecture. The company's GPUs are not only pivotal for graphics but have become the cornerstone of modern AI and machine learning applications.

Technical Metrics:

Product Line: Nvidia's flagship products in the AI space include the A100, H100, and the latest H200 GPUs. These processors leverage the Ampere and Hopper architectures, delivering unparalleled performance for AI training and inference tasks.

Performance: The A100 GPU offers up to 54 teraflops of single-precision performance, while the H100 can achieve up to 60 teraflops, representing a substantial leap in processing power. The H200, with enhancements in AI-specific features, promises even greater capabilities.

Market Share: Nvidia commands a dominant position in the AI accelerator market, with over 92% share in data center GPUs, as shown in Chart 1. The company's GPUs are the preferred choice for AI workloads across various industries, including tech giants and research institutions, according to The Information Network’s report entitled “Hot ICs: A Market Analysis of Artificial Intelligence (AI), 5G, Automotive, and Memory Chips.”

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Chart 1

Revenue: Nvidia's revenue from data center products, as shown in Chart 2,

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